Stan Tyan

Blog

Writing on AI, experimentation, analytics, and entrepreneurship.

Posts on AI memory and agents, A/B testing, analytics practice, entrepreneurship, and selected industry topics.

AI Jul 2026

Why AI Abstention Matters More Than Accuracy in Production AI Memory

A technical argument that abstention - explicitly refusing to answer when evidence is insufficient - is the most important property of trustworthy AI memory, why the field's incentives trained systems to guess instead, and what good abstention engineering looks like.

AI Jul 2026

AI Model Radar #1

Issue #1 of the AI Model Radar digest: verdicts on Moonshot Kimi K3, Thinking Machines Inkling, Tencent Hy3, NVIDIA Nemotron-Labs-Audex-2B, and Ternary Bonsai 27B - what is independently verified, what is still vendor claim, and which model is worth an evening of your time.

An honest technical explanation of why current AI agents have no persistent memory, what that costs in production, and what better agent memory architectures would actually need to solve.

How subscription metrics - ARR, ARPPU, retention, LTV, CAC, and unit economics - connect into one system, with formulas, worked examples, and the decisions each metric informs.

Strategy Published Dec 2019 / Updated Mar 2026

The Science of Entrepreneurship

Data-backed analysis of startup success and failure: modern risk frameworks, market validation, the first-mover myth, Lean Startup evolution, and how AI changed the math.

Experimentation Published Aug 2019 / Updated Mar 2026

The Statistics Behind A/B Testing

How confidence intervals, Z-scores, and statistical significance actually work in A/B testing, with worked examples and Python code.

Experimentation Published Jul 2019 / Updated Mar 2026

How A/B Testing Works

A plain-language explanation of A/B testing fundamentals — control groups, test groups, confidence intervals, statistical significance, and common pitfalls.